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Every price this sitecompares yours against

The comparison is only ever as good as what is in here — so here it is, filterable, with nothing held back.

Three kinds of row live here. Submitted quotes are real prices homeowners were quoted or charged — pasted in through the tool and contributed, or published openly by the homeowner and entered here by hand — stripped of anything identifying, contractor included. Cost-model estimates are equipment pricing plus a standard labor multiplier, standing in for scopes and areas with no real quotes yet. Showcase jobs are real completed jobs, entered by hand. None of the three are ever blended: a price position on the Quote X-Ray is only ever shown against submitted quotes, and a cost-model estimate is always labeled as a rule of thumb, not a comparison. Showcase jobs are shown, never averaged into anything. This page shows submitted quotes only by default — switch Source below to see the rest.

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No combined median is shown for these filters. They match 5 different kinds of job, and one median across a water heater and a whole-house repipe describes neither. Pick a single Job type above to see the full distribution for it.

What each kind of job costs in this set
Job typeQuotesLowestMedianHighestPer unit
Full system with a furnace, reusing ductwork10$9,620$16,458$24,200$2,463–$6,050 /ton
Full system with an air handler, reusing ductwork7$7,850$10,400$12,300$3,140–$5,687 /ton
Ductless mini-split, multi-zone system6$7,700$18,775$22,700$160–$473 /kBTU (5 of 6 gave a size)
Ductless mini-split, single-zone system2$5,850too few$10,288$488–$857 /kBTU
AC only: outdoor unit + indoor coil or air handler (furnace stays)1$5,450too few$5,450$1,363 /ton

A median needs 5 quotes before it means anything, which is the same threshold the Quote X-Ray uses before it will report a price position at all. Below that the range is shown and the median is not. Per unit divides the same quotes by what they buy, because a 2-ton and a 4-ton job look like a wide price range until you do — and units are never mixed across job types, since a boiler's kBTU and an air conditioner's ton are not comparable figures.

Quoted ▼StateJob typePriceEquipmentCapacityPer unitSource
2026-08-26NYDuctless mini-split$10,288Type: Ductless, 1 headManufacturer: DaikinModel: RXT12AVJU9 / FTXV12AVJU912,000 BTU/h$857/kBTUSubmitted quote
2026-08-20NYDuctless mini-split$5,850Type: Ductless, 1 headManufacturer: —Model: —12,000 BTU/h$488/kBTUSubmitted quote
2026-08-15NYFull system (heating + cooling)$16,115Type: Gas split systemManufacturer: LennoxModel: ML13KC160,000 BTU/h$3,223/tonSubmitted quote
2026-08-14NYDuctless mini-split$17,550Type: Ductless, 3 headsManufacturer: —Model: ———Submitted quote
2026-08-01NYFull system (heating + cooling)$9,050Type: Ducted heat pumpManufacturer: CarrierModel: 27SCA530A00330,000 BTU/h$3,620/tonSubmitted quote
2026-08-01NYFull system (heating + cooling)$7,850Type: Ducted heat pumpManufacturer: GoodmanModel: GLZS5BA301030,000 BTU/h$3,140/tonSubmitted quote
2026-07-15NYFull system (heating + cooling)$9,820Type: Gas split systemManufacturer: YorkModel: YC430E2S1130,000 BTU/h$3,928/tonSubmitted quote
2026-07-05NYFull system (heating + cooling)$9,950Type: Ducted heat pumpManufacturer: CarrierModel: 27SCA53030,000 BTU/h$3,980/tonSubmitted quote
2026-06-16NYFull system (heating + cooling)$12,300Type: Ducted heat pumpManufacturer: CarrierModel: 27TPA83636,000 BTU/h$4,100/tonSubmitted quote
2026-06-15NYFull system (heating + cooling)$19,000Type: Gas split systemManufacturer: DaikinModel: DC4SEA60,000 BTU/h$3,800/tonSubmitted quote
2026-06-01NYFull system (heating + cooling)$16,800Type: Dual fuelManufacturer: BryantModel: 235SAN04200A42,000 BTU/h$4,800/ton — cooling tons only; the furnace isn't in the divisorSubmitted quote
2026-06-01NYFull system (heating + cooling)$20,489Type: Dual fuelManufacturer: BryantModel: 248TAN04800A48,000 BTU/h$5,122/ton — cooling tons only; the furnace isn't in the divisorSubmitted quote
2026-05-15NYFull system (heating + cooling)$24,200Type: Gas split systemManufacturer: CarrierModel: —48,000 BTU/h$6,050/tonSubmitted quote
2026-04-15NYFull system (heating + cooling)$15,981Type: Gas split systemManufacturer: —Model: —36,000 BTU/h$5,327/tonSubmitted quote
2026-04-02NYDuctless mini-split$20,000Type: Ductless, 5 headsManufacturer: TosotModel: —48,000 BTU/h$417/kBTUSubmitted quote
2026-04-01NYFull system (heating + cooling)$16,800Type: Gas split systemManufacturer: CarrierModel: —36,000 BTU/h$5,600/tonSubmitted quote
2026-03-24NYDuctless mini-split$22,700Type: Ductless, 5 headsManufacturer: DaikinModel: —48,000 BTU/h$473/kBTUSubmitted quote
2026-03-15NYFull system (heating + cooling)$10,900Type: Ducted heat pumpManufacturer: HeilModel: N5H5S30AKAAA28,000 BTU/h$4,671/tonSubmitted quote
2026-03-15NYFull system (heating + cooling)$10,400Type: Ducted heat pumpManufacturer: TraneModel: 5TWR4024A1000A22,600 BTU/h$5,522/tonSubmitted quote
2026-03-12NYDuctless mini-split$21,700Type: Ductless, 5 headsManufacturer: BoschModel: —48,000 BTU/h$452/kBTUSubmitted quote
2026-03-03NYDuctless mini-split$14,200Type: Ductless, 4 headsManufacturer: BoschModel: —48,000 BTU/h$296/kBTUSubmitted quote
2026-02-24NYDuctless mini-split$7,700Type: Ductless, 2 headsManufacturer: —Model: —48,000 BTU/h$160/kBTUSubmitted quote
2026-02-15NYFull system (heating + cooling)$10,900Type: Ducted heat pumpManufacturer: HeilModel: N5H5S24AKAAA23,000 BTU/h$5,687/tonSubmitted quote
—NYFull system (heating + cooling)$9,850Type: Gas split systemManufacturer: DaikinModel: DC3SQN481048,000 BTU/h$2,463/tonSubmitted quote
—NYAC only: outdoor unit + indoor coil or air handler (furnace stays)$5,450Type: Air conditionerManufacturer: DaikinModel: DC3SQN481048,000 BTU/h$1,363/tonSubmitted quote
—NYFull system (heating + cooling)$9,620Type: Gas split systemManufacturer: RunTruModel: A5AC3030A100030,000 BTU/h$3,848/tonSubmitted quote

What permit records show over time

A separate dataset from everything above. These are public building permits — what the applicant told the city the work was worth — from three governments that share no infrastructure. They arenot contractor quotes, they are not mixed into the numbers above, and they cannot be subtracted from one. What they are good for is direction.

Median declared permit cost for a heating and cooling equipment replacement, by year $0$2,500$5,000$7,500$10,000$12,500 202120222023202420252026 New Jersey 2021: median $7,800 across 38,208 permitsNew Jersey 2022: median $8,299 across 56,173 permitsNew Jersey 2023: median $8,800 across 51,730 permitsNew Jersey 2024: median $9,500 across 55,081 permitsNew Jersey 2025: median $10,000 across 54,386 permitsNew Jersey 2026: median $10,400 across 29,136 permitsNew JerseyOrlando 2021: median $6,895 across 1,574 permitsOrlando 2022: median $7,450 across 1,547 permitsOrlando 2023: median $8,850 across 1,661 permitsOrlando 2024: median $9,736 across 1,474 permitsOrlando 2025: median $10,500 across 1,496 permitsOrlando 2026: median $10,948 across 1,096 permitsOrlandoSeattle 2021: median $6,500 across 8,785 permitsSeattle 2022: median $7,000 across 10,867 permitsSeattle 2023: median $8,000 across 10,669 permitsSeattle 2024: median $8,000 across 9,885 permitsSeattle 2025: median $8,000 across 9,858 permitsSeattle 2026: median $8,336 across 6,196 permitsSeattle

The same three sources again, this time as a spread rather than a line. Each band is the middle half of that place's permits — a quarter cost less, a quarter cost more — with the median marked. The medians differ; the bands very nearly do not, and the shaded column is the range that falls inside all three. It is the more useful of the two charts if the question is whether a number you are holding is ordinary.

The middle half of declared permit cost for a heating and cooling equipment replacement $7,583 to $13,000 falls inside the middle half of all 3 places $0$2,500$5,000$7,500$10,000$12,500$15,000 New Jersey138,603 permitsNew Jersey: the middle half of 138,603 permits runs $6,500 to $13,938, median $10,000$6,500$13,938$10,000Orlando4,066 permitsOrlando: the middle half of 4,066 permits runs $7,583 to $13,790, median $10,264$7,583$13,790$10,264Seattle25,939 permitsSeattle: the middle half of 25,939 permits runs $5,500 to $13,000, median $8,000$5,500$13,000$8,000

New Jersey, Orlando, Seattle — the closest shape each source has to a heating and cooling equipment replacement. The definitions are not identical, which is why both charts are worth reading for their slope and their overlap rather than for the exact gap between them. Seattle counts jobs rather than permits, because it issues one permit per trade and a single job is often filed as two.

How a comparison is built

Comparables are chosen from submitted quotes only by narrowing until there is still something to compare against: same ZIP code area first, then same state, then everything. Within that set, quotes for similar equipment size are preferred when there are enough of them. Below 5 submitted comparables no position is reported at all — cost-model estimates never count toward that minimum, however many exist.

The confidence score weighs four things: how many comparables there are (40%), how close they are geographically (25%), how well the scope lines up (20%), and how recent they are (15%). It describes the strength of the comparison, not the fairness of anybody's price.

When submitted quotes are too thin, the Quote X-Ray shows a cost-model estimate instead — equipment pricing plus a standard labor multiplier, always labeled as a rule of thumb rather than a market position, and always replaced by real comparisons once enough exist.