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Weekly Data Update

Monday, September 7, 2026

151 real homeowner quotes · 31 states · +77 since Aug 31

Rebuilt on 26 September 2026 from the database as it stood this week. Quotes corrected since then show their corrected figures.

What moved

NowWasChangeQuotes
Variable / modulating equipment$5,150/ton$4,572/ton+12.6%23
Single-stage equipment$3,623/ton$3,829/ton−5.4%16
NJ full systems$12,950$13,250−2.3%17

Does a higher efficiency rating cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 40 · was no relationship

Does a bigger system cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 77 · was moderate

Is a bigger system cheaper per ton?

Weak relationship, sample size 77 · was no relationship

Does the brand on the box change the price?

Does the brand on the box change the price? Median by group, Sep 7 Bryant Bryant: $5,043/ton — 5 quotes · new $5,043/ton 5 quotes · new Carrier Carrier: $4,965/ton — 12 quotes · new $4,965/ton 12 quotes · new Trane Trane: $4,288/ton — 7 quotes · new $4,288/ton 7 quotes · new Daikin Daikin: $4,180/ton — 8 quotes · new $4,180/ton 8 quotes · new Lennox Lennox: $3,833/ton — 8 quotes · new $3,833/ton 8 quotes · new

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads?

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads? Median by group, Sep 7 Single-zone Single-zone: $5,850/head — 9 quotes · new $5,850/head 9 quotes · new

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more?

Moderate relationship, sample size 49 · was weak

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more? Median by group, Sep 7 Variable / modulating Variable / modulating: $5,150/ton — 23 quotes · +12.6% $5,150/ton 23 quotes · +12.6% Two-stage Two-stage: $4,411/ton — 10 quotes · new $4,411/ton 10 quotes · new Single-stage Single-stage: $3,623/ton — 16 quotes · −5.4% $3,623/ton 16 quotes · −5.4%

Does a longer equipment list cost more?

No relationship, sample size 72

Does the state change the price?

Does the state change the price? Median by group, Sep 7 CA CA: $13,751 — 9 quotes · no change $13,751 9 quotes · no change NJ NJ: $12,950 — 17 quotes · −2.3% $12,950 17 quotes · −2.3% PA PA: $12,450 — 5 quotes · new $12,450 5 quotes · new NY NY: $10,900 — 12 quotes · no change $10,900 12 quotes · no change

Same size, different price

The commonest system size holds 30 quotes, from $8,350 to $20,999. The priciest is 2.5× the cheapest.

Computed from real homeowner quotes only. A group shows once it holds 5; highlighted bars are the ones that changed or are new this week. "Median" is the middle quote. No contractor is ever named. Today's figures, live, are on Analytics.