Weekly Data Update

Monday, September 14, 2026

175 real homeowner quotes · 31 states · +24 since Sep 7

Rebuilt on 26 September 2026 from the database as it stood this week. Quotes corrected since then show their corrected figures.

What moved

NowWasChangeQuotes
PA full systems$13,935$12,450+11.9%8
Daikin systems$3,800/ton$4,180/ton−9.1%9
Carrier systems$4,592/ton$4,965/ton−7.5%16
NJ full systems$12,095$12,950−6.6%20
Lennox systems$3,660/ton$3,833/ton−4.5%11
Single-stage equipment$3,460/ton$3,623/ton−4.5%22
NY full systems$10,650$10,900−2.3%14
Bryant systems$5,072/ton$5,043/ton+0.6%8

Does a higher efficiency rating cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 56

Does a bigger system cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 97

Is a bigger system cheaper per ton?

Weak relationship, sample size 97

Does the brand on the box change the price?

Does the brand on the box change the price? Median by group, Sep 14 Bryant Bryant: $5,072/ton — 8 quotes · +0.6% $5,072/ton 8 quotes · +0.6% Carrier Carrier: $4,592/ton — 16 quotes · −7.5% $4,592/ton 16 quotes · −7.5% Trane Trane: $4,288/ton — 7 quotes · no change $4,288/ton 7 quotes · no change Daikin Daikin: $3,800/ton — 9 quotes · −9.1% $3,800/ton 9 quotes · −9.1% Lennox Lennox: $3,660/ton — 11 quotes · −4.5% $3,660/ton 11 quotes · −4.5% American Standard American Standard: $3,525/ton — 7 quotes · new $3,525/ton 7 quotes · new

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads?

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads? Median by group, Sep 14 Single-zone Single-zone: $5,850/head — 9 quotes · no change $5,850/head 9 quotes · no change

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more?

Moderate relationship, sample size 60

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more? Median by group, Sep 14 Variable / modulating Variable / modulating: $5,125/ton — 28 quotes · no change $5,125/ton 28 quotes · no change Two-stage Two-stage: $4,411/ton — 10 quotes · no change $4,411/ton 10 quotes · no change Single-stage Single-stage: $3,460/ton — 22 quotes · −4.5% $3,460/ton 22 quotes · −4.5%

Does a longer equipment list cost more?

No relationship, sample size 87

Does the state change the price?

Does the state change the price? Median by group, Sep 14 PA PA: $13,935 — 8 quotes · +11.9% $13,935 8 quotes · +11.9% CA CA: $13,747 — 14 quotes · no change $13,747 14 quotes · no change NV NV: $12,875 — 5 quotes · new $12,875 5 quotes · new NJ NJ: $12,095 — 20 quotes · −6.6% $12,095 20 quotes · −6.6% NY NY: $10,650 — 14 quotes · −2.3% $10,650 14 quotes · −2.3%

Same size, different price

The commonest system size holds 36 quotes, from $8,350 to $20,999. The priciest is 2.5× the cheapest.

Computed from real homeowner quotes only. A group shows once it holds 5; highlighted bars are the ones that changed or are new this week. "Median" is the middle quote. No contractor is ever named. Today's figures, live, are on Analytics.