Weekly Data Update

Monday, October 5, 2026

276 real homeowner quotes · 33 states · +90 since Sep 28

What moved

NowWasChangeQuotes
Daikin systems$5,150/ton$3,800/ton+35.5%15
Ruud systems$3,820/ton$3,067/ton+24.6%7
Lennox systems$4,281/ton$3,660/ton+17.0%20
Single-stage equipment$3,979/ton$3,460/ton+15.0%38
NJ full systems$13,900$12,095+14.9%29
Carrier systems$5,196/ton$4,592/ton+13.2%35
PA full systems$15,166$13,935+8.8%16
American Standard systems$3,781/ton$3,550/ton+6.5%18
Two-stage equipment$4,533/ton$4,288/ton+5.7%21
Bryant systems$5,043/ton$5,072/ton−0.6%13
CA full systems$13,671$13,747−0.5%28

Does a higher efficiency rating cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 74

Does a bigger system cost more?

No relationship, sample size 183 · was weak

Is a bigger system cheaper per ton?

Moderate relationship, sample size 183 · was weak

Does the brand on the box change the price?

Does the brand on the box change the price? Median by group, Oct 5 Goodman Goodman: $5,410/ton — 7 quotes · new $5,410/ton 7 quotes · new Carrier Carrier: $5,196/ton — 35 quotes · +13.2% $5,196/ton 35 quotes · +13.2% Daikin Daikin: $5,150/ton — 15 quotes · +35.5% $5,150/ton 15 quotes · +35.5% Bryant Bryant: $5,043/ton — 13 quotes · −0.6% $5,043/ton 13 quotes · −0.6% Rheem Rheem: $4,584/ton — 15 quotes · new $4,584/ton 15 quotes · new Trane Trane: $4,284/ton — 14 quotes · no change $4,284/ton 14 quotes · no change Lennox Lennox: $4,281/ton — 20 quotes · +17.0% $4,281/ton 20 quotes · +17.0% Ruud Ruud: $3,820/ton — 7 quotes · +24.6% $3,820/ton 7 quotes · +24.6% American Standard American Standard: $3,781/ton — 18 quotes · +6.5% $3,781/ton 18 quotes · +6.5%

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads?

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads? Median by group, Oct 5 Single-zone Single-zone: $5,850/head — 9 quotes · no change $5,850/head 9 quotes · no change

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 112 · was moderate

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more? Median by group, Oct 5 Variable / modulating Variable / modulating: $5,122/ton — 53 quotes · no change $5,122/ton 53 quotes · no change Two-stage Two-stage: $4,533/ton — 21 quotes · +5.7% $4,533/ton 21 quotes · +5.7% Single-stage Single-stage: $3,979/ton — 38 quotes · +15.0% $3,979/ton 38 quotes · +15.0%

Does a longer equipment list cost more?

No relationship, sample size 172

Does the state change the price?

Does the state change the price? Median by group, Oct 5 MA MA: $19,850 — 5 quotes · new $19,850 5 quotes · new MN MN: $17,400 — 11 quotes · new $17,400 11 quotes · new TX TX: $17,270 — 9 quotes · new $17,270 9 quotes · new WA WA: $15,575 — 6 quotes · new $15,575 6 quotes · new PA PA: $15,166 — 16 quotes · +8.8% $15,166 16 quotes · +8.8% VA VA: $14,700 — 11 quotes · new $14,700 11 quotes · new NJ NJ: $13,900 — 29 quotes · +14.9% $13,900 29 quotes · +14.9% CA CA: $13,671 — 28 quotes · −0.5% $13,671 28 quotes · −0.5% NV NV: $12,875 — 5 quotes · no change $12,875 5 quotes · no change GA GA: $12,500 — 9 quotes · new $12,500 9 quotes · new CO CO: $12,112 — 7 quotes · new $12,112 7 quotes · new NY NY: $10,900 — 17 quotes · no change $10,900 17 quotes · no change

Same size, different price

The commonest system size holds 58 quotes, from $8,350 to $22,850. The priciest is 2.7× the cheapest.

Computed from real homeowner quotes only. A group shows once it holds 5; highlighted bars are the ones that changed or are new this week. "Median" is the middle quote. No contractor is ever named. Today's figures, live, are on Analytics.