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Weekly Data Update

Monday, October 12, 2026

297 real homeowner quotes · 33 states · +21 since Oct 5

What moved

NowWasChangeQuotes
CO full systems$13,206$12,112+9.0%8
MA full systems$21,100$19,850+6.3%8
Daikin systems$4,855/ton$5,150/ton−5.7%16
Lennox systems$4,212/ton$4,281/ton−1.6%21
CA full systems$13,751$13,671+0.6%31
Bryant systems$5,072/ton$5,043/ton+0.6%14

Does a higher efficiency rating cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 74

Does a bigger system cost more?

No relationship, sample size 192

Is a bigger system cheaper per ton?

Moderate relationship, sample size 192

Does the brand on the box change the price?

Does the brand on the box change the price? Median by group, Oct 12 Mitsubishi Mitsubishi: $6,400/ton — 7 quotes · new $6,400/ton 7 quotes · new Goodman Goodman: $5,410/ton — 7 quotes · no change $5,410/ton 7 quotes · no change Carrier Carrier: $5,196/ton — 35 quotes · no change $5,196/ton 35 quotes · no change Bryant Bryant: $5,072/ton — 14 quotes · +0.6% $5,072/ton 14 quotes · +0.6% Daikin Daikin: $4,855/ton — 16 quotes · −5.7% $4,855/ton 16 quotes · −5.7% Rheem Rheem: $4,584/ton — 15 quotes · no change $4,584/ton 15 quotes · no change Trane Trane: $4,284/ton — 14 quotes · no change $4,284/ton 14 quotes · no change Lennox Lennox: $4,212/ton — 21 quotes · −1.6% $4,212/ton 21 quotes · −1.6% Ruud Ruud: $3,820/ton — 7 quotes · no change $3,820/ton 7 quotes · no change American Standard American Standard: $3,781/ton — 18 quotes · no change $3,781/ton 18 quotes · no change

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads?

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads? Median by group, Oct 12 Single-zone Single-zone: $5,850/head — 13 quotes · no change $5,850/head 13 quotes · no change 4 heads 4 heads: $4,988/head — 5 quotes · new $4,988/head 5 quotes · new

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 115

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more? Median by group, Oct 12 Variable / modulating Variable / modulating: $5,111/ton — 56 quotes · no change $5,111/ton 56 quotes · no change Two-stage Two-stage: $4,533/ton — 21 quotes · no change $4,533/ton 21 quotes · no change Single-stage Single-stage: $3,979/ton — 38 quotes · no change $3,979/ton 38 quotes · no change

Does a longer equipment list cost more?

No relationship, sample size 181

Does the state change the price?

Does the state change the price? Median by group, Oct 12 MA MA: $21,100 — 8 quotes · +6.3% $21,100 8 quotes · +6.3% MN MN: $17,450 — 12 quotes · no change $17,450 12 quotes · no change TX TX: $17,270 — 9 quotes · no change $17,270 9 quotes · no change WA WA: $15,575 — 6 quotes · no change $15,575 6 quotes · no change PA PA: $15,166 — 16 quotes · no change $15,166 16 quotes · no change VA VA: $14,700 — 11 quotes · no change $14,700 11 quotes · no change NJ NJ: $13,900 — 29 quotes · no change $13,900 29 quotes · no change CA CA: $13,751 — 31 quotes · +0.6% $13,751 31 quotes · +0.6% CO CO: $13,206 — 8 quotes · +9.0% $13,206 8 quotes · +9.0% NV NV: $12,875 — 5 quotes · no change $12,875 5 quotes · no change GA GA: $12,500 — 9 quotes · no change $12,500 9 quotes · no change NY NY: $10,900 — 17 quotes · no change $10,900 17 quotes · no change

Same size, different price

The commonest system size holds 59 quotes, from $8,350 to $22,850. The priciest is 2.7× the cheapest.

Computed from real homeowner quotes only. A group shows once it holds 5; highlighted bars are the ones that changed or are new this week. "Median" is the middle quote. No contractor is ever named. Today's figures, live, are on Analytics.