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Weekly Data Update

Monday, November 2, 2026

323 real homeowner quotes · 33 states · +11 since Oct 19

What moved

NowWasChangeQuotes
TX full systems$13,500$16,135−16.3%13
CO full systems$14,300$13,206+8.3%9
Carrier systems$5,398/ton$5,196/ton+3.9%36
Two-stage equipment$4,621/ton$4,533/ton+1.9%26
Single-stage equipment$3,912/ton$3,979/ton−1.7%41
Lennox systems$4,281/ton$4,212/ton+1.6%22
Bryant systems$5,111/ton$5,072/ton+0.8%16

Texas and Colorado moved on a handful of new quotes, in Texas mostly small 2-ton systems from one homeowner, so read those two lines as a change in the mix of jobs, not in prices.

Does a higher efficiency rating cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 80

Does a bigger system cost more?

No relationship, sample size 201

Is a bigger system cheaper per ton?

Moderate relationship, sample size 201

Does the brand on the box change the price?

Does the brand on the box change the price? Median by group, Nov 2 Mitsubishi Mitsubishi: $5,950/ton — 6 quotes · no change $5,950/ton 6 quotes · no change Goodman Goodman: $5,410/ton — 7 quotes · no change $5,410/ton 7 quotes · no change Carrier Carrier: $5,398/ton — 36 quotes · +3.9% $5,398/ton 36 quotes · +3.9% Bryant Bryant: $5,111/ton — 16 quotes · +0.8% $5,111/ton 16 quotes · +0.8% Daikin Daikin: $4,855/ton — 16 quotes · no change $4,855/ton 16 quotes · no change Rheem Rheem: $4,584/ton — 15 quotes · no change $4,584/ton 15 quotes · no change Lennox Lennox: $4,281/ton — 22 quotes · +1.6% $4,281/ton 22 quotes · +1.6% Trane Trane: $4,280/ton — 19 quotes · no change $4,280/ton 19 quotes · no change Ruud Ruud: $3,820/ton — 7 quotes · no change $3,820/ton 7 quotes · no change American Standard American Standard: $3,781/ton — 18 quotes · no change $3,781/ton 18 quotes · no change

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads?

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads? Median by group, Nov 2 Single-zone Single-zone: $5,550/head — 16 quotes · no change $5,550/head 16 quotes · no change 4 heads 4 heads: $4,988/head — 7 quotes · no change $4,988/head 7 quotes · no change

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 124

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more? Median by group, Nov 2 Variable / modulating Variable / modulating: $5,122/ton — 57 quotes · no change $5,122/ton 57 quotes · no change Two-stage Two-stage: $4,621/ton — 26 quotes · +1.9% $4,621/ton 26 quotes · +1.9% Single-stage Single-stage: $3,912/ton — 41 quotes · −1.7% $3,912/ton 41 quotes · −1.7%

Does a longer equipment list cost more?

No relationship, sample size 190

Does the state change the price?

Does the state change the price? Median by group, Nov 2 MA MA: $21,100 — 8 quotes · no change $21,100 8 quotes · no change MN MN: $17,450 — 12 quotes · no change $17,450 12 quotes · no change WA WA: $15,575 — 6 quotes · no change $15,575 6 quotes · no change PA PA: $15,166 — 16 quotes · no change $15,166 16 quotes · no change VA VA: $14,700 — 11 quotes · no change $14,700 11 quotes · no change CO CO: $14,300 — 9 quotes · +8.3% $14,300 9 quotes · +8.3% NJ NJ: $13,900 — 29 quotes · no change $13,900 29 quotes · no change CA CA: $13,751 — 31 quotes · no change $13,751 31 quotes · no change TX TX: $13,500 — 13 quotes · −16.3% $13,500 13 quotes · −16.3% MD MD: $13,100 — 6 quotes · new $13,100 6 quotes · new NV NV: $12,875 — 5 quotes · no change $12,875 5 quotes · no change GA GA: $12,500 — 9 quotes · no change $12,500 9 quotes · no change NY NY: $10,900 — 17 quotes · no change $10,900 17 quotes · no change

Same size, different price

The commonest system size holds 62 quotes, from $8,350 to $22,850. The priciest is 2.7× the cheapest.

Computed from real homeowner quotes only. A group shows once it holds 5; highlighted bars are the ones that changed or are new this week. "Median" is the middle quote. No contractor is ever named. Today's figures, live, are on Analytics.