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Weekly Data Update

Monday, October 19, 2026

312 real homeowner quotes · 33 states · +15 since Oct 12

What moved

NowWasChangeQuotes
Mitsubishi systems$5,950/ton$6,400/ton−7.0%6
TX full systems$16,135$17,270−6.6%8
Single-zone ductless$5,550/head$5,850/head−5.1%16

Does a higher efficiency rating cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 74

Does a bigger system cost more?

No relationship, sample size 190

Is a bigger system cheaper per ton?

Moderate relationship, sample size 190

Does the brand on the box change the price?

Does the brand on the box change the price? Median by group, Oct 19 Mitsubishi Mitsubishi: $5,950/ton — 6 quotes · −7.0% $5,950/ton 6 quotes · −7.0% Goodman Goodman: $5,410/ton — 7 quotes · no change $5,410/ton 7 quotes · no change Carrier Carrier: $5,196/ton — 35 quotes · no change $5,196/ton 35 quotes · no change Bryant Bryant: $5,072/ton — 14 quotes · no change $5,072/ton 14 quotes · no change Daikin Daikin: $4,855/ton — 16 quotes · no change $4,855/ton 16 quotes · no change Rheem Rheem: $4,584/ton — 15 quotes · no change $4,584/ton 15 quotes · no change Trane Trane: $4,284/ton — 14 quotes · no change $4,284/ton 14 quotes · no change Lennox Lennox: $4,212/ton — 21 quotes · no change $4,212/ton 21 quotes · no change Ruud Ruud: $3,820/ton — 7 quotes · no change $3,820/ton 7 quotes · no change American Standard American Standard: $3,781/ton — 18 quotes · no change $3,781/ton 18 quotes · no change

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads?

Does a ductless system get cheaper per head as you add heads? Median by group, Oct 19 Single-zone Single-zone: $5,550/head — 16 quotes · −5.1% $5,550/head 16 quotes · −5.1% 4 heads 4 heads: $4,988/head — 7 quotes · no change $4,988/head 7 quotes · no change

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more?

Weak relationship, sample size 115

Does variable-capacity equipment cost more? Median by group, Oct 19 Variable / modulating Variable / modulating: $5,111/ton — 56 quotes · no change $5,111/ton 56 quotes · no change Two-stage Two-stage: $4,533/ton — 21 quotes · no change $4,533/ton 21 quotes · no change Single-stage Single-stage: $3,979/ton — 38 quotes · no change $3,979/ton 38 quotes · no change

Does a longer equipment list cost more?

No relationship, sample size 179

Does the state change the price?

Does the state change the price? Median by group, Oct 19 MA MA: $21,100 — 8 quotes · no change $21,100 8 quotes · no change MN MN: $17,450 — 12 quotes · no change $17,450 12 quotes · no change TX TX: $16,135 — 8 quotes · −6.6% $16,135 8 quotes · −6.6% WA WA: $15,575 — 6 quotes · no change $15,575 6 quotes · no change PA PA: $15,166 — 16 quotes · no change $15,166 16 quotes · no change VA VA: $14,700 — 11 quotes · no change $14,700 11 quotes · no change NJ NJ: $13,900 — 29 quotes · no change $13,900 29 quotes · no change CA CA: $13,751 — 31 quotes · no change $13,751 31 quotes · no change CO CO: $13,206 — 8 quotes · no change $13,206 8 quotes · no change NV NV: $12,875 — 5 quotes · no change $12,875 5 quotes · no change GA GA: $12,500 — 9 quotes · no change $12,500 9 quotes · no change NY NY: $10,900 — 17 quotes · no change $10,900 17 quotes · no change

Same size, different price

The commonest system size holds 59 quotes, from $8,350 to $22,850. The priciest is 2.7× the cheapest.

Computed from real homeowner quotes only. A group shows once it holds 5; highlighted bars are the ones that changed or are new this week. "Median" is the middle quote. No contractor is ever named. Today's figures, live, are on Analytics.